Return On Effort (ROE) Is Your Key To Unlocking A Better Life – Technologist

If you want to optimize your life, it’s essential to understand the concept of Return on Effort (ROE). The higher your ROE, the more you get out of your efforts, making it an invaluable framework for decision-making. ROE can also help you better utilize your time by prioritizing tasks and opportunities that yield the greatest results.

I started focusing on Return on Effort in 2009 when I launched Financial Samurai. After a decade in finance and grueling 60+ hour workweeks, I was burned out and searching for an escape. The constant grind had taken a toll, and I needed a path to a more balanced and fulfilling lifestyle.

Return on Effort is a spin on Return on Equity (ROE)—a key financial metric that measures a company’s profitability relative to its shareholders’ equity. ROE shows how effectively a company uses its shareholders’ investments to generate profits, calculated using the formula:

ROE = (Net Income / Shareholders’ Equity) ×100

As an MBA graduate and finance professional, it felt natural to adapt the concept of ROE to evaluate day-to-day life. Just as businesses aim to maximize returns on their financial capital, focusing on Return on Effort helps optimize personal energy and resources for the greatest impact and satisfaction.

ROE Question: Work Harder or Relax During a Bull Market?

Over the past month, I asked more than 20 people—ranging in age from 24 to 58—whether they would rather work harder during a bull market or relax more when times are good. I posed this question during conversations at school, on the pickleball courts, and at a couple of social poker games.

To steer the conversation, I made a critical point upfront: in a bull market, your investments are working hard for you, so there’s arguably less need to grind as much. Once you reach a minimum investment amount, work starts becoming optional. Despite my biased framing, not a single person said they’d choose to relax more.

Every respondent said they’d work harder, summarizing their reasoning like this:

“In a bull market, there’s more opportunity, so I’m going to work harder to take advantage of it.”

The Problems with Everyone Working Harder

While it’s commendable to see people seizing opportunities during a bull market, the collective response to work harder reveals a potential downside: our efforts might simply result in everyone running in place.

Think of it like this: if everyone in the front row of an NBA game remains seated, no one seated in the rows behind them needs to stand to maintain their view. But if the first row stands, everyone else behind them must follow, creating more effort for the same result. The Return on Effort (ROE) in this scenario is low.

In pursuit of wealth, many push themselves harder—joining startups, starting businesses, or climbing corporate ladders in industries like tech, finance, or consulting. However, when the bull market inevitably ends, much of this effort may yield disappointing results. Most startups fail, and the gap between those who “win big” and those who don’t can grow immense. This disparity can lead to frustration or dissatisfaction, even among those who are objectively doing well.

Sadly, hard work doesn’t always guarantee success, especially when luck plays a significant role in generating outsized wealth. All hard work guarantees is higher expectations of success. Witnessing peers achieve extraordinary success can leave others feeling like failures, even if they’ve achieved a comfortable lifestyle.

Meanwhile, a minority of workers may opt to take it easy during a bull market, relying on well-allocated investments. While they might feel content in theory, the constant comparisons of today’s hyper-connected world can trigger feelings of inadequacy.

Yes, working hard is essential to achieving our goals. But just as important is recognizing when we have enough—and allowing ourselves to slow down, enjoy the present, and appreciate what we’ve already accomplished.

A New Perspective on Working Hard During Bull Markets

Instead of defaulting to the grind, consider your ROE. Is the additional effort worth the incremental reward, or are you simply “standing up because everyone else is”? Sometimes, the better move might be to relax and let your investments work for you, ensuring that your mental and physical well-being don’t suffer from overexertion.

After all, the average worker’s raise is around 3%, roughly keeping pace with inflation. For those who earn promotions, raises typically range between 10% and 20%. However, if you’re putting in significantly more than 3% to 20% in additional effort each year to achieve these raises, your Return on Effort (ROE) is diminishing.

Working smarter—not harder—might just be the key to thriving in any market condition.

Mixed On What to Do In This Bull Market

At 47, I’ve come to firmly believe that during a bull market, it makes sense to work less. Why? Because my investments now generate far more than I could ever make through active work. After more than 30 years of saving and investing, the impact of additional work on my net worth is minimal—my Return on Effort (ROE) is simply too low.

On top of that, I no longer have the same energy or drive to earn significant amounts of money as I did in my 20s and 30s.

Yet, I also have a clear goal: to regain our financial independence by December 31, 2027. Working harder to generate active income could help me reach that goal faster. Even if it means shaving just a few months off the timeline, the value of time has grown immensely for me, making the extra effort potentially worthwhile.

Experimenting with Working Harder

To test whether working harder during a bull market is worth it, I took a part-time role at a startup in November 2023, committing 20–25 hours a week. Combined with the 20 hours I spend weekly on Financial Samurai and writing my books, I was essentially back to full-time work.

The extra income provided a psychological boost of security, particularly after draining much of my liquidity to purchase a home. However, in terms of my overall net worth, the additional income barely moved the needle.

After just four months, I decided to stop working at the startup and choose freedom again. While the experiment helped me appreciate the value of steady income, it reinforced my belief that working harder in a bull market doesn’t always yield meaningful returns —especially when your investments are doing the heavy lifting for you.

Sometimes, the best move is to step back and let your financial foundation work its magic.

The Futility of Working Harder in a Bull Market

Let’s use my rollover IRA again, worth ~$1.3 million, to demonstrate how little impact active income can have during a bull market. In this example, the IRA equals 100% of your net worth.

Scenario: Work Harder for Two More Years

Imagine you’re 53 years old, earning $120,000 annually (gross) with an effective tax rate of 20%, leaving $96,000 in after-tax income. You’ve also adopted Bill Bengen’s updated 5% withdrawal rate, which allows you to withdraw 1% more in retirement than his 4% Rule previously suggested.

You decide to work for two more years, saving $30,000 annually, while your liquid net worth grows. Your goal is to retire at 55, 10 years earlier than the traditional retirement age of 65.

• Initial Net Worth: $1,300,000
• Portfolio Growth at 10%/Year for Two Years: $1,573,000
• Savings from Work: $60,000
• Total Net Worth: $1,633,000

With a 5% withdrawal rate, you can withdraw $81,650 annually—just $3,000 more per year than if you hadn’t worked. That’s only $250 more per month. Congrats on being able to spend an extra $250 a month for your efforts!

Scenario Evolution: A Raging Bull Market For Two Years

Now, let’s assume two consecutive years of 20% portfolio growth:

• Portfolio Value After Growth: $1,872,000
• Additional Savings from Work: $60,000
• Total Net Worth: $1,932,000

At a 5% withdrawal rate, you can withdraw $96,600 annually or $14,950 more a year thanks to a raging bull market. However, your additional $60,000 in savings continues to only enable you to withdraw an additional $3,000 more a year, assuming no growth.

$14,950 is greater than $3,000. The larger your portfolio grows, the smaller the percentage impact of your active income and savings. Now imagine if your net worth was much bigger, say $10 million, or $20+ million. Your Return on Effort shrinks as your portfolio takes over.

The Cost of Working Harder Increases the Older You Get

Sure, in the above example, you save and invest an additional $60,000 after two years of work. But the real cost is your precious time.

In your 20s, 30s, and maybe 40s, working two extra years to earn an additional $60,000 makes sense. Time feels abundant, and your health and energy are likely at their peak. But in your 50s and older? That equation starts to break down.

Delaying those two years in your mid-50s to hike the 26-mile Inca Trail could mean the difference between walking it or taking the bus—or giving up altogether. As we age, the window of opportunity to enjoy life experiences begins to close. For many, that window slams shut faster than expected.

Just like converting money to a Roth IRA at a 24% federal marginal income tax bracket can feel like a wash, we need to determine at what age working harder becomes a wash too.

The Key Takeaway: Invest Harder > Work Harder

During a bull market, investing harder beats working harder almost every time. While earning an extra $120,000 annually might feel productive, it pales in comparison to what a well-timed investment can achieve.

The challenge lies in identifying opportunities for higher returns. While not easy, some years—like 2023 and 2024—offer outsized gains for those who stay invested. The longer you remain in the market, the greater your chance of benefiting from these historical surges.

In the end, the smart move is to focus on increasing your ROE by investing strategically rather than grinding harder.

Personally, I believe the top private AI companies have the potential to significantly outperform the S&P 500 over the next 5–10 years. However, I don’t have enough conviction to go all-in, which is why I’ve allocated 10%–20% of my capital to venture funds instead.

When Does Working Harder Stop Paying Off?

From my experience, the ideal age to retire early and minimize regret is 45. In this article, we’re not talking so much about retiring early, but about taking things easier for a more enjoyable life. By 45:

• You’re past the midpoint of life expectancy, which is appropriate given we aren’t productive workers for the first 16–18 years of our lives.
• The marginal benefit of working harder begins to decline because time, which is already priceless, begins to be twice as valuable

This assumes you’ve worked for at least 22 years by age 45, saved and invested at least 10% of your income annually, and have the median life expectancy.

Nobody wishes on their deathbed that they worked more instead of spending time with friends, family, and pursuing their passions. Retiring or taking things easier around 45 minimizes this regret and ensures you allocate your most valuable resource—time—to what truly matters.

Declining Motivation to Work in Bear Markets Too

It’s not just about the futility of working harder during a bull market as your net worth grows. The same applies during a bear market, where your Return on Effort (ROE) may feel even lower.

Let’s say your $1.3 million portfolio drops 20% in a bear market, losing $260,000. Is it worth working another year to save $30,000 while still seeing your net worth decline by $230,000?

Absolutely not. Working harder while losing money might simply make you angrier and more despondent.

Instead, it’s often better to work less—or not at all—and extract value elsewhere during a down market. The less you work, the more you maximize your ROE when investments are down.

This mindset aligns with the quiet quitting movement that gained traction post-pandemic. By working just enough to keep your job, you preserve your energy and maintain flexibility for the eventual recovery.

Infinity Return on Effort (ROE) And Beyond!

While achieving an “infinity ROE” sounds ideal, there are non-financial factors to consider:

• Status and ego: Some people work hard to stroke their egos or boost their social standing.
• Family: Many parents work harder to provide opportunities for their children while also setting a good example about the importance of work ethic.
• Passion: Those who love their work may not care about financial compensation because they simply love what they do.

Personally, I wouldn’t be happiest relying solely on passive income because I enjoy doing things. My ideal mix is about 25% active income and 75% passive income. For example, if my total compensation were $100,000, I’d prefer $25,000 to come from activities that require effort—like entrepreneurship, creative pursuits, or consulting—and the remaining $75,000 from investments.

Here’s a chart I put together in 2014 about the ideal split between active and passive income. More than 10 years later, I still feel the same way today. Deciding your split is also an exercise in Return on Effort. The lower your active income as a percentage of total income, the higher your ROE. But you don’t want that active income percentage to be so low that you feel useless to society.

How to Boost Your ROE Without Working Harder

If you can’t invest harder through greater savings, better investments, or more concentrated bets, there are other ways to maximize your efforts:

1. Strengthen family relationships
2. Find a wealthy spouse
   • Work on your appearance, personality, and fitness because finding a wealthy partner may fast-track your financial goals.
3. Encourage your spouse to work longer and harder
   • Their continued income could allow you more flexibility.
4. Build wealthier connections
5. Leverage technology and the internet
   • Use these tools to amplify entrepreneurial returns and scale your efforts.

Some may scoff at these suggestions, but they’re rooted in reality. Don’t let honor or pride stand in the way of achieving a higher ROE and easier life. Marrying rich or accessing an early inheritance can shortcut decades of financial struggle.

Always Think About The Opportunity Cost Of Your Efforts

Ultimately, it’s up to you how hard you want to work. I encourage working your hardest until about age 45—taking advantage of every opportunity, bull or bear market. After 45, it’s time to rethink your approach and focus on your Return on Effort.

Life is too short to waste on actions that don’t make a meaningful difference. Prioritize what brings the greatest value to your time and energy.

Readers, will you be working harder or relaxing more during a bull market? If you plan to work harder, at what age and net worth do you envision finally easing up? Do you consider your Return on Effort (ROE) when making these decisions? If so, what other factors influence how much effort you’re willing to invest in work versus enjoying life? Let me know!

Invest In Private Growth Companies

Consider diversifying into private growth companies through an open venture capital fund. Companies are staying private for longer, as a result, more gains are accruing to private company investors. Finding the next Google or Apple before going public can be a life-changing investment. 

Check out the Fundrise venture capital product, which invests in the following five sectors:

• Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning
• Modern Data Infrastructure
• Development Operations (DevOps)
• Financial Technology (FinTech)
• Real Estate & Property Technology (PropTech)

Over 60% of the Fundrise venture product is invests in artificial intelligence, which I’m extremely bullish about. In 20 years, I don’t want my kids wondering why I didn’t invest in AI or work in AI!

The investment minimum is also only $10. Most venture capital funds have a $250,000+ minimum. In addition, you can see what product is holding before deciding to invest and how much. I’ve personally invested $150,000 in the Fundrise venture and Fundrise is a long-time sponsor of Financial Samurai.

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